Win/Loss Mechanics

When the event ends, the system aggregates all “Yes” and “No” votes. The total distribution always equals 100% between both sides.

• The losing side transfers its total stake to the winning side.

• Payouts are distributed based on each player’s contribution ratio to the winning side.

Example: BTC Price Prediction

Event: Will BTC trade above $200,000 tomorrow?

Trader	Action	Amount	Contract Bonuses	Result	Payout	Profit/Loss
A	Buys YES	100 USD1	200 YES contracts	BTC > 200k	200 USD1	+100 USD1
B	Buys NO	200 USD1	500 NO contracts	BTC > 200k	0 USD1	-200 USD1

Explanation:

Since BTC did exceed $200,000, the “YES” outcome wins. Each YES contract pays 1 USD1, while each NO contract becomes worthless.

• Trader A earns a total payout of 200 * 1 = 200 USD1, resulting in a profit of 200 - 100 = +100 USD1.

• Trader B loses the entire 200 USD1 stake.

📊 Market Chart Feature

Each event page includes a probability chart that visualizes how the market’s belief in an outcome changes over time.

• X-Axis: Time progression (live until event resolution)

• Y-Axis: Probability (%) of the selected outcome, ranging from 0% to 100%

Example: “BTC to reach $200,000 by tomorrow.”

• Current YES probability = 96.7%

• The chart displays the probability trend, showing that the market currently estimates a 96.7% chance of BTC crossing that threshold.

This helps traders gauge market sentiment, momentum, and timing opportunities before opening or closing positions.